Fractal Model version 24.9 Newest Features and Functionality

on September 30, 2024

Quarterly update Version 24.9 (released in September 2024) included the following features:

  1. Fractal Energy, a new portal for downloading historic prices
  2. Updated templates for NY Index Storage Credit and Massachusetts Clean Peak Standard
  3. Updated BESS CAPEX and OPEX benchmarks

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Fractal Energy Storage ConsultantsFractal Model version 24.9 Newest Features and Functionality

Fractal Model version 24.6 Newest Features and Functionality

on June 30, 2024

Quarterly update Version 24.6 (released in June 2024) included the following features:

  1. Long-Term Forecasts. Get Fractal’s long-term price forecasts within the Add-in.
  2. NY Index Storage Credit. Get pre-built Fractal Model templates for the NY ISC mechanism.
  3. Cost Benchmarks: Updated BESS CAPEX and OPEX benchmarks.

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Fractal Energy Storage ConsultantsFractal Model version 24.6 Newest Features and Functionality

Fractal Model version 24.3 Newest Features and Functionality

on March 31, 2024

Quarterly update Version 24.3 (released in March 2024) included the following features:

  1. Historical nodal price import for ERCOT and CAISO
  2. Pre-built templates for all US markets and upcoming RFPs
  3. Updated BESS CAPEX and OPEX benchmarks

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Fractal Energy Storage ConsultantsFractal Model version 24.3 Newest Features and Functionality

Fractal Model version 23.12 Newest Features and Functionality

on December 31, 2023

Quarterly update Version 23.12 (released in December 2023) included the following features:

  1. FMV in Tax Equity Model. Use the new input for asset basis step up to a Fair Market Value for tax equity models.
  2. Advanced Dispatch Optimization. New features to incorporate market restrictions, market dilution and risk adjusted trading rules.
  3. Historical Benchmarks (ERCOT). Get 4 years of historical energy and ancillary prices to quickly benchmark past performance.

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Fractal Energy Storage ConsultantsFractal Model version 23.12 Newest Features and Functionality

Fractal Model version 23.9 Newest Features and Functionality

on September 30, 2023

Quarterly update Version 23.9 (released in September 2023) included the following features:

  1. Hourly Dispatch Diligence: New features to easily query hourly dispatch and revenue calculation.
  2. Availability Calculation: New feature to sensitize the impact of availability.
  3. Battery Price Update: Updated battery cost benchmark based on latest market data

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Fractal Energy Storage ConsultantsFractal Model version 23.9 Newest Features and Functionality

Fractal Model version 23.6 Newest Features and Functionality

on June 30, 2023

Quarterly update Version 23.6 (released in June 2023) included the following features:

  1. New automated bidding algorithm to co-optimize DA and RT markets
  2. New tab that summarizes and provides statistics for market prices
  3. Introducing a new tab that runs sensitivities of multiple storage and solar sizes
  4. Reserve hours for peak mitigation and then optimize the other hours using energy and ancillary services
  5. Continued enhancements of the project development mapping tools in the Fractal Portal

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Fractal Energy Storage ConsultantsFractal Model version 23.6 Newest Features and Functionality

Fractal Model version 23.3 Newest Features and Functionality

on March 31, 2023

Quarterly update Version 23.3 (released in March 2023) included the following features:

  1. Fractal Map Revenue Calculation (BETA) – compare revenue at multiple pricing nodes in Texas based on historical prices
  2. Updated benchmarks for CAPEX and OPEX
  3. Improved optimization engine
  4. Continued enhancements of the project development mapping tools in the Fractal Portal

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Fractal Energy Storage ConsultantsFractal Model version 23.3 Newest Features and Functionality

Fractal Model version 22.12 Newest Features and Functionality

on December 31, 2022

Quarterly update Version 22.12 (released in December 2022) included the following features:

  1. Improved merchant revenue calculation with 8760 prices for solar and wind
  2. Improvement reporting on Dashboard and calculation improvements across the model.
  3. New project development mapping tool that shows current power plants, transmission lines and other key data.

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Fractal Energy Storage ConsultantsFractal Model version 22.12 Newest Features and Functionality

Michigan Announces Energy Storage Target

on April 25, 2022

Michigan’s newly enacted energy storage target means we now have 10 states in the club. On April 21, 2022, Governor Gretchen Witmer released the MI Healthy Climate Plan, a roadmap for Michigan to achieve economy-wide carbon neutrality by 2050 with interim 2030 goals. In addition to recommendations for renewable energy, the plan established a target of 4,000 MW of energy storage by 2040.

Fractal speculated that Michigan would be next. The state recently published a study (March 2022) that recommended energy storage targets. The report said that the state of Michigan would need to deploy 2,500 MW of energy storage by 2030 and 4,000 MW by 2040 to ensure grid reliability as fossil fuel generation retires. To facilitate that goal, the report recommended a “value of storage” study that could quantify the contributions storage makes to the grid, an economic gap analysis to set grant and rebate levels for customers and upgrades to building codes to include storage readiness requirements. The report also recommended new legislation requiring utility integrated resource plans (IRPs) to evaluate storage opportunities and to establish on-bill financing pilot programs for residential and commercial projects.

California

  • Assembly Bill (A.B.) 2514 (2013) directed the state’s three investor-owned utilities (IOUs) to procure 1,325 MW of storage by 2020 with installations operational by 2024 (580 MW from SCE, 580 MW from PG&E, 165 MW from SDG&E).
  • A.B. 2868 (2016) directed the same utilities to add an additional 500 MW of additional storage to be rate-based. No more than 25 percent of the capacity could be behind-the-meter (BTM).
  • S.B. 801 (2018) required SCE to deploy 20 MW energy storage to meet energy reliability requirements in the greater Los Angeles area associated with the Aliso Canyon gas explosion.
  • CPUC Rulemaking 20-05-003 (Feb 2022) requires utilities to add an additional 15,000 MW of energy storage, emphasis on long duration, and demand response by 2032

Let’s look at the other states with storage targets:

Connecticut

  • S.B. 952 (2021) set a target of 1 GW of energy storage to be achieved by 2030. Sets interim targets of 300 MW by 2024 and 650 MW by 2027.

Maine

  • LD 528 (2021) set a 400 MW energy storage target to be achieved by 2025, and 500 MW by 2030.

Massachusetts

  • House Bill (H.B.) 4857 (2018) established a 1,000 MWh energy storage deployment target to be achieved by 2026.

Nevada

  • S.B. 204 (2017) directed the Public Utilities Commission of Nevada to establish biennial targets for NV Energy Inc.’s procurement of energy storage systems, starting at 100 MW by the end of 2020 and increasing to 1,000 MW by the end of 2030.

New Jersey

  • A.B. 3723 (2018) set targets of 600 MW of energy storage capacity within three years and 2 GW of capacity by 2030.

New York

  • S.B. 5190 and A.B. 6571 directed the New York Public Service Commission (PSC) to develop an Energy Storage Deployment Program, including 3,000 MW by 2030 with an interim goal of 1,500 MW by 2025.

Oregon

  • H.B. 2193 (2016) required Portland General Electric (PGE) and PacifiCorp to each have a minimum of 5 MWh of energy storage in service by January 2020.

Virginia

  • H.B. 1526 and S.B. 851 (2020) and 20 VAC 5-3535, had Virginia Governor Ralph Northam signed the Virginia Clean Economy Act (VCEA) mandating a 3.1 GW energy target and a goal to achieve 100% renewable and clean energy by 2050.

Who will be next? Well, Maryland, New Hampshire, Rhode Island and Minnesota have favorable climates that include storage deployments, state policy and incentives, that could lead to storage targets.

Fractal Energy Storage Consultants provides technical design, financial analysis, procurement, buy and sell side due diligence, technoeconomic models, controls integration and OE services for energy storage and hybrid projects. Contact us today for more information https://www.energystorageconsultants.com.

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Fractal Energy Storage ConsultantsMichigan Announces Energy Storage Target

The U.S. Commerce Department Delays Decision on Solar Tariffs

on September 29, 2021

On August 16, 2021, a group of US solar manufacturers, represented by D.C. law firm Wiley, filed petitions with the U.S. Department of Commerce (DOC), alleging that Chinese competitors had shifted production to Southeast Asia to circumvent import tariffs (assembling solar cells and panels at factories in Malaysia, Thailand and Vietnam).

The group, called American Solar Manufacturers Against Chinese Circumvention (A-SMACC), has chosen to remain anonymous. On August 24th, NextEra Energy asked the DOC to force the group to identify its members or reject the request. The group has insisted on anonymity saying that “identifying its members could lead to retribution against them.”

On August 26th, the Solar Energy Industry Associuation (SEIA) wrote a petition to the Secretary of Commerce, strongly contesting the allegations and calling A-SMACC’s efforts, “a procedural gimmick” that “circumvents and evades the channels pursuant to which the DOC normally investigates supposedly unfairly priced and unfairly subsidized imports.” SEIA also expressed disapproval in A-SMACC’s request to shield the identity of its members. SEIA urged the DOC to order the public disclosure of A-SMACC’s members, stating that they had “no legal basis to hide behind an ad hoc coalition created solely for the purpose of expanding trade restrictions on solar products.”

The DOC was expected to make a decision this week. On Wednesday, the DOC sent the group’s attorney an October 6th deadline for A-SMACC to respond to a series of questions. The DOC said it would issue a decision within 45 days of receiving a response.

The past two months have been a roller coaster of trade-based issues. In addition to the circumvention filing by A-SMACC, the following events sent shockwaves through the solar industry:

Section 201 Tariff Extension Petitions

In early August, Suniva and Auxin Solar, filed a petition asking the International Trade Commission (ITC) to investigate extending the Section 201 tariffs for another four years. Three days later a second petition was filed by Hanwha Q Cells, LG Electronics, and Mission Solar, which also included a request that the Tariff Rate Quota (TRQ) be increased to 5 GW (from the current 2.5 GW). The current Section 201 tariff is 18% and is slated to drop to 0% in February 2022. The ITC is currently collecting data to investigate the petition, and a hearing will be held this fall with a report and recommendation delivered to the president in December 2021.

Detainment of Modules by U.S. CBP

At the end of June, the U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) announced that imports containing silica from a Chinese company called Hoshine would be banned due to concerns of forced labor. In August, news spread that the CBP was detaining modules suspected of containing material from Hoshine. The news sent buyers scrambling for replacement modules.

Forced Labor Prevention Act

In July, the U.S. Senate passed legislation to ban the import of products from China’s Xinjiang region. In a separate move, the Biden administration issued an advisory warning to businesses that they could be in violation of U.S. law if their operations are linked, even indirectly, to suspected surveillance networks in Xinjiang. It is expected that the Forced Labor Prevention Act will be signed into law this fall. The bill creates a “rebuttable presumption” that assumes goods manufactured in Xinjiang are made with forced labor, meaning they could be banned under the 1930 Tariff Act, and it shifts the burden of proof to the importers.


Fractal Energy Storage Consultants provides technical design, financial analysis, procurement, due diligence and OE services for energy storage and hybrid projects. Fractal EMS provides turn-key energy storage controls and integration. Contact us today for more information https://www.energystorageconsultants.com.

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Fractal Energy Storage ConsultantsThe U.S. Commerce Department Delays Decision on Solar Tariffs