US Energy Storage Market Experiences Largest Quarter Ever

on June 9, 2017

energy storage greentech mediaThe first quarter of 2017 was the biggest in history for the U.S. energy storage market.

According to GTM Research and the Energy Storage Association’s (ESA) latest U.S. Energy Storage Monitor, 234 megawatt-hours of energy storage were deployed in the first quarter, which represents more than fiftyfold growth year-over-year.

When measured in megawatts, it was the third-largest quarter in history, ranking behind only the fourth quarters of 2015 and 2016. Front-of-meter deployments grew 591 percent year-over-year, boosted by a few large projects in Arizona, California and Hawaii.

“Much of this growth can be attributed to a shift from short-duration projects to medium- and long-duration projects in the utility-scale market, along with a surge of deployments geared to offset the Aliso Canyon natural gas leak,” said Ravi Manghani, GTM Research’s director of energy storage. “Still, the industry shouldn’t get too comfortable — there aren’t that many 10+ megawatt-hour projects in the 2017 pipeline, indicating that the first quarter may be the largest quarter this year.”

In all, front-of-meter energy storage represented 91 percent of all deployments for the quarter.

The behind-the-meter market segment, which is made up of residential and commercial energy storage deployments, declined 27 percent year-over-year in megawatt-hour terms. The report attributes the slowdown to a pause in California’s Self-Generation Incentive Program.

California will remain the undisputed king of the U.S. storage market over the next five years. Arizona, Hawaii, Massachusetts, New York and Texas will all battle for second place, with each market forming a significant chunk of deployments through 2022. At that point, GTM Research forecasts the U.S. annual market to reach 2.6 gigawatts and 7.2 gigawatt-hours.

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GreenTech MediaUS Energy Storage Market Experiences Largest Quarter Ever

Nevada Just Became the Most Exciting State for Energy Storage Policy

on June 8, 2017

energy storage greentech mediaNevada jumped to the vanguard of energy storage policy after passing a revision to its state renewable energy targets.

In the past week, state legislators deputized the Public Utilities Commission to investigate whether it is in the public interest to require an energy storage procurement by utilities. The PUC has until October 1, 2018 to make that decision, based on a wide variety of criteria. That makes it the fourth state to set in motion a storage target, a policy that contributed significantly to the growth of the technology in California.

Nevada tucked even more goodies into a bill updating the state renewable portfolio standard. If Governor Brian Sandoval signs AB 206, it will raise the state’s RPS from 25 percent renewables by 2025 to 40 percent by 2030. And storage will play a role that no state has thus far attempted.

Each kilowatt-hour of energy delivered by a qualified energy storage device will count double for the purposes of meeting the RPS requirement. There are two ways for a storage system to qualify: if it charges from renewable generation and discharges during a peak load period, or if it performs ancillary grid services that help integrate renewable generation.

“I am astounded at the amount of progress that Nevada legislators have made in such a short amount of time to catapult their state into the leadership of storage policy in the United States,” said Jason Burwen, policy and advocacy director at the Energy Storage Association industry group.

The new policies leap-frog Nevada into the ranks of important storage markets like Arizona, Hawaii, Massachusetts, New York and Washington, behind the national leader, California, said Ravi Manghani, energy storage director at GTM Research.

Several of those states have passed storage targets, but the RPS bill takes storage policy in a whole new direction.

It casts storage devices as renewable energy assets that can deliver energy, along with solar, wind and geothermal.

It also incentivizes storage specifically for peak capacity, so that systems will be inclined to discharge their energy at the time of greatest grid need. Alternatively, it rewards systems that provide valuable grid services like frequency regulation and voltage control, which keep the grid running smoothly as renewable penetration increases.

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GreenTech MediaNevada Just Became the Most Exciting State for Energy Storage Policy

Why Solar Developer 8minutenergy Is So Excited About the Energy Storage Market

on May 31, 2017

energy storage greentech mediaWith duck curves on the prowl and curtailment on the rise, there are dangers stalking utility-scale solar’s natural habitat.

Solar developer 8minutenergy wants to ward off these threats with large-scale energy storage. The company spent the past year quietly picking up staff with years of experience developing storage at California utilities, and recently revealed the new practice, with a pipeline of 1 gigawatt already in place. That quantity, though not yet finalized, dwarfs the 221 megawatts deployed across the U.S. last year.

8minutenergy worked its way up to 10th place on GTM Research’s list of U.S. utility-scale solar developers. Now the team wants to incorporate storage into its expertise with wrangling land rights, interconnection and utility offtakers. Initial geographical targets include California, the Southwest, ERCOT and the Southeast.

“It’s really kind of an ideal storm with much lower prices, so these systems are much more cost-effective,” said Steve McKenery, vice president of storage solutions. “We can do a solar-plus-storage project now at less than the cost of a new combustion gas turbine. That was not the case a few years ago.”

The company likes to focus on solar projects with 100 megawatts or more, to capture economies of scale. Going forward, a typical 100-megawatt PV project might come with 100 megawatts/400 megawatt-hours of storage.

In fact, for the last year or so, all 8minutenergy developments have been designed to incorporate storage if desired; having land rights and interconnection already taken care of can speed up the storage deployment process.

The primary market will be pairing storage alongside new solar projects. This captures the ITC for the storage, and makes the solar generation dispatchable. That serves the offtaker by guaranteeing clean power for several hours of peak demand, but it also serves to future-proof 8minutenergy’s core product against increasing curtailment rates in California.

If the company can deliver on that gas turbine-beating promise, it could open up lucrative capacity market revenue. There’s also value to offer utilities in offsetting gas consumption for spinning reserves, said Carl Stills, vice president for storage integration.

In a previous job working on storage at the Imperial Irrigation District, he saw how utilities spend thousands of dollars a day on gas to maintain spinning reserves. Storage can remain ready for instantaneous response without burning fuel.

Storage on a major solar farm also serves a utility by increasing utilization of transmission infrastructure.

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GreenTech MediaWhy Solar Developer 8minutenergy Is So Excited About the Energy Storage Market

SolarEdge and Enphase: A Tale of Two Solar Panel Electronics Companies

on May 17, 2017

energy storage greentech mediaSolar module-level electronics rivals SolarEdge and Enphase reported their respective first-quarter earnings on Tuesday, allowing for a side-by-side comparison of their financial results.

Both of these firms were founded in roughly the same era and both tenaciously pioneered their respective module-level solutions. Both venture funded firms grew spectacularly and managed to reach the promised land of an initial public offering.

That’s where the companies’ respective performances seem to diverge. Both firms grew fast, along with the exploding residential solar market, but SolarEdge has been more inclined to make a consistent profit at a sustainable margin while showing growth and accurately meeting or exceeding guidance. Enphase has struggled to cut costs and keep up with the price declines across the residential solar supply stack — resulting in very slim margins and consistent quarterly losses.

Stripping away the aspirational CEO rhetoric, here are the earnings numbers and their brutal truth.

Guy Sella, CEO of SolarEdge: “In a quarter where the PV market is exhibiting decline in the United States, we have increased our revenues, profitability and cash flow generation quarter-over-quarter. Much of this is attributed to increased sales in Europe and our growing worldwide geographic spread.” He added, “We are confident that with our financial strength, cash balance and substantial R&D capabilities, we are well positioned to continue to increase revenues in existing markets and new markets as we see fit.”

Paul Nahi, CEO of Enphase, was less sanguine: “The first quarter of 2017 turned out to be more challenging than expected, and we were certainly disappointed with our financial results.”

During the first quarter of 2017, Enphase sold approximately 138 megawatts (AC), amounting to approximately 573,000 microinverters, a decrease in megawatts of 30 percent sequentially and 6 percent on a year-over-year basis. SolarEdge shipped 455 megawatts (AC) of inverters in the quarter, up from 413 megawatts (AC) of inverters shipped in the previous quarter.

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GreenTech MediaSolarEdge and Enphase: A Tale of Two Solar Panel Electronics Companies

Is the Battery Rush Distracting Us From Better Energy Storage Options for the Grid?

on May 15, 2017

energy storage greentech mediaBatteries are helping the grid everywhere from Aliso Canyon to South Australia. But some are concerned that battery-based storage might not be the universal panacea that evangelists believe.

Launching the Tesla Powerwall in 2015, for example, Elon Musk claimed: “The size of the batteries needed to transition all of the United States to being solar with batteries…is a very tiny amount.”

Musk seemed to indicate that batteries can take care of all the world’s renewable energy intermittency needs — a view that was reinforced by Tesla and others’ successful bids for battery storage plants to make up for lost gas generation in California and Australia. 

However, this view ignores the fact that batteries are poorly designed for cheaply storing the vast amounts of energy needed for communities and industries to ride through long-term lulls in renewable generation.

“The challenge is how to replicate the low-cost service that fossil fuels provide, but in a decarbonized system,” said Richard Heap, executive analyst at the Energy Research Partnership, a U.K. government and industry advisory body.

Other researchers, such as Dr. Björn Peters, head of energy policy at the German employers’ association Deutscher Arbeitgeber Verband, claim the cost of battery storage needed to deal with once- or twice-yearly anticyclones is prohibitive. 

Writing on his blog, Peters said: “If a homeowner wanted to be independent from the electricity network all year round, a storage system with several thousands of kilowatt-hours in capacity would be necessary, pricing itself out of range for most of the population.” 

Focusing too heavily on battery storage may risk sidelining more effective and cost-efficient ways of dealing with grid challenges, according to Heap. 

“A system approach that considers the role of all decarbonized energy vectors may come up with a much cheaper way of addressing the rare event, that may also overcome the local grid issues,” he said.

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GreenTech MediaIs the Battery Rush Distracting Us From Better Energy Storage Options for the Grid?

After Leaving Tesla, Mateo Jaramillo Seeks the New Frontier of Energy Storage

on May 5, 2017

energy storage greentech mediaSince the day Tesla was founded, executives saw stationary storage as a compliment to the electric car business.

That was Martin Eberhard’s plan when he co-founded the company and envisioned the Tesla Energy Group. Years later, after launching the Powerwall, CEO Elon Musk said the storage business could soon eclipse automobiles. Today, storage is an integral part of Tesla’s package of offerings for consumers, and its development plans for utilities. 

In 2009, Mateo Jaramillo was hired to execute Tesla’s storage strategy. Well, eventually.

First, he was responsible for developing the company’s powertrain. Over time, he became more heavily involved in stationary storage — eventually building Tesla’s in-house storage development arm and the team that designed the Powerwall and Powerpack. He drew on his years of experience at Gaia Power Technologies, where he worked on some of the earliest behind-the-meter battery systems in New York.

Last December, Jaramillo left Tesla to focus on his next career move in storage. The LinkedIn description of his new job job reads: “The Next Thing.”

This week, we caught up with Jaramillo to talk about what that “next thing” might be. We talked about the history of behind-the-meter storage, the evolution of Tesla’s approach to the market, and where storage business models and applications are headed. 

Thanks to our launch sponsor, AES Energy Storage. The grid is changing. Fast. And AES Energy Storage is helping utilities harness the power of battery-based energy storage to make the electric power system cleaner, more flexible, and more reliable. Find out more.

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GreenTech MediaAfter Leaving Tesla, Mateo Jaramillo Seeks the New Frontier of Energy Storage

How Alternative Battery Makers Are Trying to Compete With Lithium-Ion

on April 20, 2017

energy storage greentech mediaAbout three years ago inside a sprawling factory southeast of Pittsburgh, a promising battery startup was churning out some of the first of its ultra-simple, nontoxic, low-cost batteries made from a combination of salt water, carbon and manganese oxide.

With $180 million in funding from some of Silicon Valley’s best-known names, including billionaire Bill Gates, it looked like the batteries could be some of the first with an alternative type of chemistry to provide low-cost storage for the power grid, buildings, remote machinery and clean energy farms.

But that vision didn’t quite pan out. Just a couple of months ago, the battery maker, Aquion Energy, filed for bankruptcy protection, laid off almost all of its workers and ceased selling its stackable energy storage devices. As the company looks for a buyer, it’s also been hit with a lawsuit from former workers who say they were let go without proper notice, and it has been the target of critics who question why the firm was still struggling after receiving state and federal support.

It’s a familiar tale for battery industry watchers. From big companies like A123 Systems, to smaller ones like EnerVault and Imergy, companies developing new types of battery chemistries have faced difficult markets, major technical hurdles, and long sales cycles.

In recent years, however, the dramatically dropping cost of lithium-ion batteries has become chief among the concerns. While some predicted these batteries would become cheaper over time, most didn’t estimate that the prices would go so low so fast — making the outlook for alternative battery chemistries a lot murkier.

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GreenTech MediaHow Alternative Battery Makers Are Trying to Compete With Lithium-Ion

How Much Does a Rooftop Solar System With Batteries Cost?

on April 18, 2017

energy storage greentech mediaBack in April 2015, Rocky Mountain Institute and partners including Global X and HOMER Energy published a study, The Economics of Load Defection, that examined how grid-connected solar-plus-battery systems will compete with traditional electric service.

The findings showed that declining costs for such systems, combined with retail price hikes for grid electricity, would make grid-connected solar-plus-battery systems economically optimal for customers in many parts of the country by 2030. Furthermore, solar-plus-battery systems can offer other important benefits to customers, such as backup power for critical loads in the event of a grid outage and cost savings via peak-demand shaving and time-of-use shifting. However, at the time, RMI’s study did not detail the exact nature of energy storage costs. 

Figuring out how to compare apples to apples

To break down the installed costs of PV-plus-storage systems today, RMI and NREL first analyzed data across a variety of existing studies from sources including Lazard and GTM, in addition to our own experience in the RMI Innovation Center

One challenge to analyzing component costs and system prices for PV-plus-storage installations is choosing an appropriate metric. Unlike standalone PV, energy storage lacks a standard set of widely accepted benchmarking metrics, such as dollars-per-watt of installed capacity or levelized cost of energy. Energy storage costs can vary both by the total energy capacity of the system — expressed in $/kilowatt-hour (kWh) — and the rate at which it charges or discharges — expressed in $/kilowatt (kW).

Some consumers may prefer to optimize their system for longer-duration discharge, while others may have high peak demand and want to optimize their storage solution for power (kW) rather than energy capacity (kWh). Given the diversity of household preferences and load profiles, using a single metric can artificially distort reported costs, making it difficult to compare across varying systems. Therefore, we used the total installed price as our primary metric, rather than using a metric normalized to system size. 

To analyze component costs and system prices for PV-plus-storage installed in the first quarter of 2016, we adapted NREL’s component- and system-level bottom-up cost-modeling approach for standalone PV. Our methodology includes accounting for all component and project-development costs incurred when installing residential systems, and it models the cash purchase price for such systems, excluding the federal Investment Tax Credit (ITC). 

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GreenTech MediaHow Much Does a Rooftop Solar System With Batteries Cost?

There Are Finally Some New Contenders on the Energy Storage Market Leaderboard

on April 10, 2017

energy storage greentech mediaFor months, the energy storage market has lived in very few places, making it hard to get too excited about updates to the market leaderboard. But that’s starting to change.

In rankings calculated by GTM Research for its cumulative 2016 edition of the Energy Storage Monitor, several states that are not California have broken onto the scene. California doesn’t have to worry about losing the throne any time soon, but the stronger showing from relative newcomers heralds the onset of a more geographically diverse industry.

For a while now, the top three markets for the various storage segments have shuffled between California, the PJM Interconnection (minus New Jersey, which is counted separately), and the catchall term “All Others,” while Hawaii has made a strong mark in residential.

Hawaii still holds the No. 3 slot for cumulative residential power capacity, but Arizona unseated it for deployments in 2016. With 633 kilowatts, Arizona put up essentially half as much home storage as California last year.

That’s an impressive performance from Arizona given the relative generosity of storage policy incentives between the two. Overall, Arizona controls 9 percent of the residential storage market and Hawaii has 18 percent. That’ll be the matchup to watch going forward to understand the non-California centers of gravity for home battery buyers.

Meanwhile, New York has gained ground in the commercial and industrial space. The Empire State’s 2.3 megawatts earned it third place for cumulative megawatts deployed, unseating PJM, which held the spot with 2.2 megawatts last quarter.

Again, California still has a potentially insurmountable lead with 66.5 megawatts. As GTM Research’s behind-the-meter storage expert Brett Simon put it, “I don’t think we’ll see California lose its grip on the nonresidential market, but we’ll start to see its market share erode a little bit as states like New York and Hawaii claw their way up in the storage market.”

The new numbers show that New York isn’t waiting for its comprehensive Reforming the Energy Vision policy effort to wrap up before moving ahead with storage deployments. We can expect the pace of deployment to accelerate further as more fully formed market-based grid reform policies come into effect.

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GreenTech MediaThere Are Finally Some New Contenders on the Energy Storage Market Leaderboard

21 US States Have Energy Storage Pipelines of 20MW or More

on March 29, 2017

energy storage greentech mediaAccording to GTM Research, 21 U.S. states now have 20 megawatts of energy storage projects proposed, in construction or deployed. In fact, 10 U.S. states have pipelines greater than 100 megawatts.

The data comes from GTM Research’s new U.S. Energy Storage Data Hub, part of the company’s Energy Storage Service, launched today.

Energy storage is no longer confined to a handful of U.S. states. GTM Research is tracking 2.5 gigawatts of front-of-meter energy storage projects outside of California. Texas, Hawaii, Ohio and Illinois round out the top five.

According to the Energy Storage Data Hub, states across the nation now have a combined 140 policies and regulations pending or in place concerning front-of-meter energy storage, many of which are driving this geographic expansion. For instance, Utah’s state legislature recently passed a bill pertaining to utility investments in energy storage projects; Oregon and Massachusetts are the second and third states to introduce storage mandates, respectively; and New York City became the first municipality to set a storage target.

“Front-of-meter energy storage markets are advancing at a feverish pace, enabled by an intricate set of drivers across states and wholesale markets,” said Ravi Manghani, GTM Research’s director of energy storage. “Declining costs coupled with maturing regulations have led to storage deployments of 10 megawatts or more in 14 states.” While the industry has largely concentrated on California in the recent months, GTM Research has tracked over 120 policies and regulations that impact markets outside of California.

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GreenTech Media21 US States Have Energy Storage Pipelines of 20MW or More